Some awards seasons are simpler to foretell than others, and 2025 appears to be like a bit just like the yr of Oppenheimer or 12 Years a Slave: a transparent consensus favourite has emerged and it’s about as near a sure-thing as Greatest Image may be. We admit that Sinners changing into probably the most nominated movie in Oscar historical past offers us a little bit of pause. The Academy famously doesn’t line up with most critics teams (see: The Brutalist’s dizzying checklist of critics wins final yr). So there’s motive to doubt AMPAS will agree when the New York Movie Critics Circle or the Critics Alternative Awards dubbed OBAA one of the best of movie of final yr. Nevertheless, Sinners on the finish of the day stays a horror film, and One Battle After One other has three main issues going for it.
First regardless of being broadly thought of top-of-the-line filmmakers of his era, Paul Thomas Anderson—the writer-director of Boogie Nights, There Will Be Blood, Magnolia, The Grasp, and Phantom Thread—has by no means received an Oscar. So the “it’s his flip” narrative will likely be in full impact. Moreover, like Sinners, OBAA was a cagey wager by WB Movement Image Group co-heads Mike De Luca and Pam Abdy, and the business will possible need to salute each’s dedication for dangerous unique movies that may discover a industrial viewers in film theaters, significantly within the face of what looks as if an imminent takeover by streaming service Netflix. Granted, that narrative additionally applies to Sinners, however lastly the aggressively left politics of OBAA will play to an Academy voting physique desperate to sign help for anybody keen to withstand state-sanctioned ICE thuggery and the oppression techniques by the present administration.
Lastly One Battle After One other is only a thrilling piece of filmmaking and storytelling, working each as a suspenseful thriller and a shaggy-haired hangout flick with Leonardo DiCaprio at his most comical and pitiful. It’s an exhilarating movie and truthfully one of the best of final yr.

Greatest Director
Chloé Zhao, Hamnet
Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme
Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After One other
Joachim Trier, Sentimental Worth
Ryan Coogler, Sinners
For all the explanations said above, we suspect Anderson will even win Greatest Director, though we suppose one may say if the vote have been to be break up, right here is likely to be the place Coogler excels. Sinners is probably the most nominated movie in Oscar historical past, and the three motion pictures tied for the second most quantity of nominations—All About Eve, Titanic, and La La Land—all received Greatest Director, even when one among them did not take Greatest Image. Nonetheless, we’d wager on PTA to interrupt that pattern this yr.

Greatest Actress
Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
Kate Hudson, Track Sung Blue
Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Worth
Emma Stone, Bugonia
